MLB Second Half 2025: Playoff Races, Team Projections, and Key Players to Watch
Get the latest insights on the 2025 MLB season's second half, including playoff odds, team rankings, and key players to watch as the race to the postseason heats up.

The 2025 MLB season has been a rollercoaster of predictable dominance and unexpected surprises. As the second half kicks off, the race for the playoffs is tighter than ever, with several teams vying for division titles and wild-card spots. Here's a breakdown of what to expect in the coming months.
Top Contenders
- Detroit Tigers (59-38): Led by Riley Greene and Tarik Skubal, the Tigers are on pace for a 96-66 record. Their offense and pitching have been stellar, but they may need to bolster their bullpen for a deep postseason run.
- Los Angeles Dodgers (58-39): Despite injuries to key pitchers like Blake Snell and Tyler Glasnow, the Dodgers have maintained their dominance. With Shohei Ohtani back in form, they’re a strong contender for the NL West title.
- Chicago Cubs (57-39): The Cubs' dynamic offense and solid defense have them leading the NL Central. Expect them to be active at the trade deadline to strengthen their pitching staff.
Surprise Teams
- Baltimore Orioles: After a disappointing first half, the Orioles are looking to rebuild and may trade veterans like Ryan O'Hearn and Cedric Mullins.
- Colorado Rockies: On pace to break the single-season loss record, the Rockies are in full rebuild mode, with potential trades of German Marquez and Ryan McMahon.
Key Players to Watch
- Aaron Judge (Yankees): Continuing his MVP-caliber season, Judge is crucial for the Yankees' playoff push.
- Juan Soto (Mets): After a slow start, Soto has heated up and is now a driving force in the Mets' lineup.
- Cal Raleigh (Mariners): Leading the majors in home runs and RBIs, Raleigh is a key player in the Mariners' quest for their first division title since 2001.
Playoff Odds and Projections
Using 10,000 Monte Carlo-style simulations, ESPN's Bradford Doolittle projects the final standings and playoff odds. The Tigers have the highest championship odds at 13.4%, followed closely by the Dodgers at 16.4%. The wild-card races in both leagues are expected to go down to the wire, with six AL teams and four NL teams within striking distance of the final spots.
Trade Deadline Moves
The trade deadline on July 31 will be pivotal. Teams like the Phillies and Yankees are expected to be active, seeking bullpen help and starting pitching to solidify their rosters for the postseason.
Conclusion
The second half of the 2025 MLB season promises to be thrilling, with tight division races, wild-card battles, and potential blockbuster trades. Whether your team is a contender or rebuilding, there’s plenty of excitement ahead as the race to October heats up.