NBA Play-In Tournament Showdown: Expert Betting Insights for Magic vs. Hawks and Warriors vs. Grizzlies

Tuesday's NBA Play-In Tournament Preview

Orlando Magic vs. Atlanta Hawks (-5.5, 219.5)

• Key Matchup: Paolo Banchero looks to exploit Atlanta's defensive weaknesses (7th-most PF points allowed)
• Trend Alert: Banchero cleared 30.5 points in all 3 regular-season meetings vs Hawks
• Defensive Edge: Magic rank #1 in defensive rating over last 10 games

Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies (-7.5, 227.5)

• Rebound Battle: Zach Edey averaging 25.6 rebound chances in last 5 games
• Warriors' Weakness: Allowed 6th-most C rebounds this season
• Memphis X-Factor: Vince Williams Jr. struggles in full-strength lineups (under 12.5 PRA in 9/12 games)

Top Betting Angles

🔥 Hot Prop Picks

1. Banchero Over 30.5 Points (-110)

   • Cleared line in 11/20 games with 34+ minutes
   • Hawks lack defensive stoppers at PF

2. Edey Over 11.5 Rebounds (-130)

   • Warriors allow 6th-most C rebounds
   • 4/5 recent games over line

❄️ Cold Trends to Watch

• Okongwu Under 25.5 PRA (-105)
  • Magic held Cs under line in 6/10 games
  • Under in 10/20 recent appearances

Injury Impact Analysis

Updated Odds & Projections

Magic vs Hawks

• BPI Projection: ORL by 4.9 (66% win probability)
• Total Points Projection: 213.3

Warriors vs Grizzlies

• BPI Projection: GSW by 3.5 (62% win probability)
• Total Points Projection: 230.1

All odds current as of ESPN BET update at 4/15/2025 3:00 PM ET