AFC Power Rankings After Week 1: Chiefs Vulnerable, Bills Rise, and Chargers Surge
Week 1 of the NFL season reshaped the AFC hierarchy, with the Chiefs showing vulnerability, the Bills rising, and the Chargers making a surprising surge.

The first week of the NFL season has already shaken up the AFC hierarchy, with several key teams making statements while others stumbled. Here's a breakdown of the AFC landscape after Week 1:
Buffalo Bills: The New Favorites
The Bills pulled off a dramatic comeback against the Ravens, solidifying their position as the team to beat in the AFC. ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) now gives them a 30% chance of securing the top seed, nearly double that of any other team. Their strong offense, led by MVP Josh Allen, and a favorable schedule make them the early favorites.
Baltimore Ravens: Still a Force
Despite their loss to the Bills, the Ravens remain a top contender. FPI still views them as one of the best teams in the league, thanks to their dominant offense and strong analytics. However, their inability to close out games in the fourth quarter remains a concern.
Kansas City Chiefs: Signs of Vulnerability
The Chiefs' loss to the Chargers in Brazil raised questions about their dominance. With key injuries and offensive struggles, their chances of securing the top seed have dropped significantly. However, with Patrick Mahomes at the helm, it's too early to count them out.
Los Angeles Chargers: The Surprise Contenders
The Chargers made a statement by defeating the Chiefs, nearly doubling their odds of winning the AFC West. Justin Herbert's stellar performance and a strong defensive showing have put them in the mix for a top seed.
The Rest of the AFC
While the Bills, Ravens, Chiefs, and Chargers are the early favorites, teams like the Bengals, Colts, and Broncos are still in the mix. The AFC playoff race is shaping up to be one of the most competitive in recent years.
Key Takeaways
- Bills are the early favorites with a strong offense and favorable schedule.
- Ravens remain a top contender despite their Week 1 loss.
- Chiefs showed vulnerability but are still a threat with Mahomes.
- Chargers made a surprising surge with a win over the Chiefs.
The AFC playoff race is wide open, and Week 1 has set the stage for an exciting season.