Week 1 NFL Touchdown Predictions: Top 25 Scorers Revealed by Mike Clay

Top 25 Predicted Touchdown Scorers for NFL Week 1

Every week, Mike Clay, a senior writer for fantasy football and the NFL at ESPN, generates projections for every game. These projections include the probability that a player will score a touchdown. Here are his top 25 predicted scorers for Week 1, along with the implied odds and the Anytime Touchdown moneyline offered by ESPN BET at the time of publication.

Key Players and Probabilities

Jalen Hurts, PHI vs. DAL: 73% (-270)
Derrick Henry, BAL vs. BUF: 72% (-257)
Saquon Barkley, PHI vs. DAL: 71% (-245)
Jonathan Taylor, IND vs. MIA: 66% (-194)
Bijan Robinson, ATL vs. TB: 64% (-178)

Implied Odds Explained

Implied odds convert the probability of an outcome projected by Mike Clay into a moneyline. Look for implied odds that are higher than the moneyline offered. For example, if the implied odds are -150 and the moneyline is -110, Clay's projection system indicates an advantage for the bettor. Conversely, if the implied odds are +110 but the line offered is -110, the projection system sees a disadvantage to be avoided.

Full List of Predicted Scorers

Player	Prob(Implied)	Moneyline
Jalen Hurts, PHI vs. DAL	73% (-270)	-135
Derrick Henry, BAL vs. BUF	72% (-257)	-155
Saquon Barkley, PHI vs. DAL	71% (-245)	-170
Jonathan Taylor, IND vs. MIA	66% (-194)	-190
Bijan Robinson, ATL vs. TB	64% (-178)	-250
Jahmyr Gibbs, DET vs. GB	64% (-178)	+100
Kyren Williams, LAR vs. HOU	60% (-150)	-160
Josh Jacobs, GB vs. DET	60% (-150)	-155
James Cook, BUF vs. BAL	58% (-138)	+100
Ja'Marr Chase, CIN vs. CLE	56% (-127)	-155
Chase Brown, CIN vs. CLE	56% (-127)	-185
Omarion Hampton, LAC vs. KC	56% (-127)	+105
De'Von Achane, MIA vs. IND	55% (-122)	-130
James Conner, ARI vs. NO	54% (-117)	-200
Bucky Irving, TB vs. ATL	53% (-113)	-200
Xavier Worthy, KC vs. LAC	51% (-104)	+135
Josh Allen, BUF vs. BAL	50% (+100)	+100
Christian McCaffrey, SF vs. SEA	50% (+100)	-170
David Montgomery, DET vs. GB	50% (+100)	+155
Justin Jefferson, MIN vs. CHI	50% (+100)	+125
Kenneth Walker III, SEA vs. SF	49% (+104)	+140
Ashton Jeanty, LV vs. NE	48% (+108)	-170
Mike Evans, TB vs. ATL	48% (+108)	+105
Tee Higgins, CIN vs. CLE	47% (+113)	+130
Chuba Hubbard, CAR vs. JAX	46% (+117)	-110