The debate over the future format of the College Football Playoff (CFP) is intensifying, with a particular focus on how it affects the largest conferences, especially the SEC. One of the most contentious issues is the potential shift to a 9-game conference schedule, which could have significant implications for playoff bids.

The Current Landscape

The SEC currently plays an 8-game conference schedule, while other power conferences like the Big Ten play 9 games. Despite this difference, the SEC's schedule is already considered tougher due to fewer easy matchups and annual out-of-conference rivalry games against ACC programs. However, there is growing pressure for the SEC to adopt a 9-game schedule to align with other conferences and potentially increase the value of its media rights contract.

The Impact on Playoff Bids

Moving to a 9-game schedule could make the SEC's already tough schedule even more challenging, potentially costing the conference one to two playoff teams per year. This is because the additional game would likely result in more losses for SEC teams, reducing their chances of securing a playoff spot. For example, simulations based on SP+ projections show that the number of SEC teams projected to go 9-3 or better would drop from 6.2 to 4.7 with a 9-game schedule.

The Debate Over Strength of Schedule

SEC commissioner Greg Sankey has emphasized the importance of strength of schedule in the CFP selection process. He argues that the SEC's tough schedule should be a key factor in determining playoff bids. However, the committee's decision-making process has been criticized for lacking clarity, leading to calls for a more formula-based approach to rankings.

The Future of the CFP

As the CFP moves towards a 16-team tournament, the conversation around scheduling and playoff bids is likely to continue. The SEC's decision on whether to adopt a 9-game schedule will have significant implications for the conference's playoff prospects and the overall landscape of college football.

Conclusion

The potential shift to a 9-game SEC schedule is a complex issue with far-reaching implications. While it could increase the value of the conference's media rights and make schedules more exciting, it could also reduce the number of SEC teams in the playoff. As the debate continues, the SEC's decision will be closely watched by fans, analysts, and stakeholders in the world of college football.