Friday MLB Fantasy Baseball & Betting Guide: Expert Picks, Streams, and Avoids
Comprehensive Friday MLB guide featuring fantasy baseball lineup advice, betting insights, pitcher rankings, and streaming recommendations.
Starting Pitcher Rankings & Projections
Top Friday pitchers ranked by ESPN's projected fantasy points (FPTS):
| FPTS | Team | Pitcher | T | Opp | Rst% | W% | IP | ER | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13.6 | TOR | Kevin Gausman (R) | R | NYM | 89.1% | 54% | 6.1 | 2.1 | 6.6 |
| 11.6 | SEA | Bryce Miller (R) | R | SF | 90.7% | 54% | 5.6 | 2.1 | 5.2 |
| 11.5 | LAD | Y. Yamamoto (R) | R | PHI | 99.5% | 53% | 6.0 | 2.6 | 6.2 |
| 11.4 | ATL | S. Schwellenbach (R) | R | MIA | 88.5% | 64% | 5.8 | 2.6 | 5.5 |
| 10.9 | CHC | Shota Imanaga (L) | L | SD | 97.8% | 58% | 5.9 | 2.6 | 5.4 |
T: Throwing hand, RST%: Roster percentage in ESPN leagues
Premium Streaming Options
Nick Martinez (RHP - CIN)
- Facing Milwaukee's strikeout-prone lineup
- Allowed just 1 walk with 5 Ks in opener
- Career 3.8% HR rate minimizes park factor concerns
Gavin Williams (RHP - CLE)
- Dominant spring: 26K/4BB in 17.1 IP
- Faces slumping Angels offense
- 94mph fastball with elite 35% whiff rate
High-Risk Pitchers to Avoid
- Mitch Keller (PIT): Yankee lineup leads MLB in road OPS
- Seth Lugo (KC): Baltimore ranks top-3 in HR vs RHP
- Both pitching in pitcher-friendly parks but facing elite offenses
Hitter Streaming Targets
Boston Red Sox vs RHP Erick Fedde (STL)
- Fenway Park opener with ideal hitting conditions (mid-60s)
- Watch for lineup updates on:
- Wilyer Abreu (.870 OPS last 15 days)
- Triston Casas (4 HR in last 10 games)
Advanced Betting Insights
Projections courtesy of THE BAT X analytics system
Top Value Bets:
- Braves RL (+125) vs Marlins
- Dodgers/Overs (Projected 9.2 runs)
- Shota Imanaga Under 5.5 Ks (-115)
Key Factors Considered:
- Ballpark factors
- Umpire tendencies
- Catcher framing metrics
- Bullpen leverage
Note: All game odds from ESPN BET. Check fantasy news for last-minute updates.
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