NBA MVP Race 2025: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs Nikola Jokic – Final Showdown Before Playoffs
The definitive breakdown of the thrilling 2025 NBA MVP race between Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Nikola Jokic, with expert analysis and poll results.

The MVP Duel Reaches Its Climax
As the 2024-25 NBA regular season approaches its conclusion, the Most Valuable Player race has crystallized into a spectacular two-man showdown between Oklahoma City Thunder's Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Denver Nuggets' Nikola Jokic. ESPN's final straw poll reveals this remains the closest MVP battle in recent memory.
Poll Results Breakdown
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: 77 first-place votes (931 total points)
- Nikola Jokic: 23 first-place votes (769 total points)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: 3rd place with 381 points
- Jayson Tatum: 4th place with 363 points
- Donovan Mitchell: 5th place with 293 points
Statistical Dominance on Display
Gilgeous-Alexander's Case:
- League-leading 32.9 PPG (potential scoring title)
- Leading Thunder to 63-12 record
- Team chasing 70-win season (would join historic 95-96 Bulls and 15-16 Warriors)
- Career-best defensive impact (+2.3 defensive rating)
Jokic's Historic Campaign:
- Career highs: 29.3 PPG, 10.2 APG, 41.2% 3PT
- 12.8 RPG while maintaining elite efficiency (65.1% TS)
- Carrying injury-riddled Nuggets to West's 3-seed
- Chasing 4th MVP in 5 years (joining LeBron, Russell)
Expert Perspectives
"I'd go Jokic," an Eastern Conference scout told ESPN. "For keeping that team afloat with the injuries and their depth. The Thunder are great everywhere. There's a reason they're going to win 70 games."
"Jokic is putting up a statistical anomaly in NBA history," another scout added. "It's Wilt Chamberlain-esque."
Meanwhile, SGA supporters point to his two-way dominance and transformative impact on a Thunder team that won just 24 games three seasons ago.
The Chase Pack
- Giannis Antetokounmpo: The only player to receive votes in all 19 straw polls since 2016-17
- Jayson Tatum: Consistent top-5 presence leading NBA's best record
- Donovan Mitchell: Breakout season leading surprising Cavs
- Cade Cunningham: Pistons' young star making first MVP case
- LeBron James: Defying age at 40 with impressive Lakers surge
Key Metrics Comparison
Stat Category | Gilgeous-Alexander | Jokic |
---|---|---|
PPG | 32.9 | 29.3 |
APG | 6.4 | 10.2 |
RPG | 5.7 | 12.8 |
Steals | 2.3 | 1.5 |
TS% | 63.7 | 65.1 |
Team Record | 63-12 | 56-19 |
What History Tells Us
The poll has accurately predicted the MVP winner in each of the past five seasons. SGA's lead suggests he'll join Kevin Durant as the only Thunder players to win the award. However, Jokic could join elite company with a fourth MVP, which would:
- Tie him with LeBron for 3rd-most all-time
- Make him the first center since Moses Malone (1982-83) to win back-to-back MVPs
- Cement his status as the most decorated international player ever
Final Thoughts Before Voting
With just weeks remaining, the race could still see dramatic shifts. Key matchups to watch:
- April 2: Thunder vs. Pistons (SGA vs. rising star Cade Cunningham)
- April 9: Nuggets vs. Kings (Jokic's final national showcase)
- Potential Thunder-Nuggets playoff preview in season finale
The basketball world waits to see whether the brilliant young guard or the revolutionary big man will claim the sport's ultimate individual honor.