Mayer vs. Ryan 2 & Zepeda vs. Farmer 2: Rematch Breakdown, Stats, and Fight Predictions

A detailed analysis of the Mayer-Ryan and Zepeda-Farmer rematches with fight predictions, stats, and tale of the tape.

Mayer vs. Ryan 2: The Grudge Match Heats Up

The highly anticipated rematch between Mikaela Mayer (20-2, 5 KOs) and Sandy Ryan (7-2-1, 3 KOs) headlines an action-packed Saturday night in Las Vegas. Their first encounter ended in a razor-thin majority decision for Mayer, with CompuBox stats revealing just one punch separated the two warriors (186-185 total connects). The bad blood between these welterweights runs deep:

  • Trainer Drama: Mayer split with longtime coach Kay Koroma after he began training Ryan, creating genuine animosity
  • Paint Attack Controversy: Ryan accused Mayer's team of orchestrating a pre-fight paint can incident (Mayer denies involvement)
  • Stat Story: Mayer dominated power punches (132-128) while Ryan edged jabs (57-54) in their first meeting

Key Fight Metrics:

  • Ryan's Late Surge: Landed 60% of punches in rounds 6-10 vs Mayer's 54%
  • Volume vs Precision: Mayer averages 53.6 punches/round (34.9% accuracy) vs Ryan's 42.5 (32%)
  • Title Experience: This marks Mayer's 9th title fight compared to Ryan's 5th

Prediction: With both women improving since September and Ryan (-115 favorite) looking for vengeance, expect firework exchanges. Mayer's (-105) technical adjustment under new trainer Kofi Jantuah could be the X-factor.


Zepeda vs. Farmer 2: Lightweight Fireworks in Mexico

Undefeated William Zepeda (32-0, 27 KOs) puts his WBC interim lightweight title on the line against slick southpaw Tevin Farmer (33-7-1, 8 KOs) in Cancun. Their first battle saw Zepeda survive a 4th-round knockdown to win via split decision.

By The Numbers:

  • Punching Machine: Zepeda averages 96.5 punches per round (31.9 lands) - highest at lightweight
  • Body Snatcher: Landed 79 body power punches to Farmer's 42 in fight #1
  • Farmer's Precision: Despite volume deficit, connects at 29.8% vs Zepeda's 33.1%
  • Knockdown Alert: Farmer's counter left remains dangerous (dropped Zepeda last fight)

X-Factor: Can Farmer (+475 underdog) solve Zepeda's (-750 favorite) relentless pressure? The Philadelphia native must improve his 55 punches/round output to keep Zepeda honest.


Broadcast Details

  • Main Card: Saturday March 29, 10 p.m. ET (ESPN/ESPN+)
  • Prelims: 7 p.m. ET (ESPN+)

All statistics courtesy of ESPN Research and CompuBox.

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